BCPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BCPC - Balchem Corporation
$24.86
0.05 (0.20%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 20, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BCPC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BCPC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$111.40
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.17
64.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BCPC is currently trading at $24.86, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.11 to $118.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.5) compared to its historical average (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 32.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BCPC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BCPC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $191.00 (+668.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BCPC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BCPC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $191.00 (+668.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$2.11 -
$118.70
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 668.3% below Wall St target ($191.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$2.11 -
$118.70
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.78
Resistance Level
$25.30
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.46
Wall Street Target
$191.00
(+668.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.4%
Profit Margin
14.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-32.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.5 vs 14.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-32.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.37
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$20.14
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$18.12
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→15)
$59.31
(+139%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.0%)
$161.14
(+548%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.5, Growth: 9.0%)
$32.24
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$27.40
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.57
Bull Case
$225.54
(+807%)
Analyst growth 21.9%, PE expands to 40.5
Base Case
$205.04
(+725%)
Market implied 21.9%, PE stable at 36.8
Bear Case
$114.34
(360%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.5 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$81.36
(+227.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+227.3%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BCPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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