BELFA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BELFA - Bel Fuse Inc

ELECTRONIC COILS, TRANSFORMERS & OTHER INDUCTORS
$183.75
-8.68 (-4.51%) ▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026 15d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BELFA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$187.23
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$116.26
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BELFA is currently trading at $183.75, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $158.01 to $186.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.6) compared to its historical average (23.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BELFA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $175.06, while resistance sits at $197.63. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: BELFA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $110.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $158.01 - $186.01
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 40.1% above Wall St target ($110.00)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.5% growth expectation is conservative given 173% recent growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $158.01 - $186.01
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $175.06
Resistance Level $197.63
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 27.59
Wall Street Target $110.00 (-40.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 44.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 172.9%
Profit Margin 10.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.5% premium
PE vs Historical 27.6 vs 23.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $193.86 (+6%)
2-Year Target $204.52 (+11%)
3-Year Target $215.77 (+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 28→24) PE COMPRESSION $183.78 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 27.6, Growth: 3.3%) $202.29 (+10%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 3.3%) $163.50 (-11%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 3.3%) $138.98 (-24%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.94
Bull Case $282.72 (+54%)
Analyst growth 34.8%, PE expands to 42.5
Base Case $257.02 (+40%)
Market implied 34.8%, PE stable at 38.6
Bear Case $129.64 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 1:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced BELFA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BELFA price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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