BEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BEN - Franklin Resources, Inc.
$22.75
-0.84 (-3.56%)
▼
5d:
-3.03%
30d:
-17.06%
90d:
-5.64%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
BEN is down 7.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $25 2026-04-17 with 1,034 OI. Call ratio: 71% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BEN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BEN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.90
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.53
3.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BEN is currently trading at $22.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.94 to $27.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (9.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 60.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: BEN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.36 (+20.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: BEN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.36 (+20.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$23.94 -
$27.14
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BEN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 20.3% below Wall St target ($27.36)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$23.94 -
$27.14
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.01
Resistance Level
$24.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.78
Wall Street Target
$27.36
(+20.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
60.6%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 9.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.68
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$20.66
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$19.69
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$22.77
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.2%)
$90.01
(+296%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 11.2%)
$31.27
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 11.2%)
$26.58
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.08
Bull Case
$51.61
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$46.92
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.7
Bear Case
$15.95
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 9.0
Stabilization Target:
$26.31
(+15.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
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Advanced BEN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BEN price and gamma walls.
