BHF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BHF - Brighthouse Financial, Inc.
$62.65
0.11 (0.17%)
▲
5d:
+2.51%
30d:
+0.68%
90d:
-1.98%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BHF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BHF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.60
Based on 1.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BHF is currently trading at $62.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.28 to $62.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.2) is in line with its historical norms (3.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHF is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHF is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$61.28 -
$62.45
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($65.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with -36.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.28 -
$62.45
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.81
Resistance Level
$62.90
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.22
Wall Street Target
$65.00
(+3.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-36.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.1%
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
3.2 vs 3.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.60
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$64.68
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$65.78
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→3)
PE COMPRESSION
$63.29
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -1.1%)
$414.12
(+562%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.2, Growth: -1.1%)
$60.46
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.7, Growth: -1.1%)
$51.39
(-18%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BHF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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