BHRB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BHRB - Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Common Stock
$62.77
-0.69 (-1.09%)
▼
5d:
+2.11%
30d:
-2.68%
90d:
-3.83%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BHRB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BHRB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$108.16
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.16
6.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BHRB is currently trading at $62.77, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.54 to $65.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHRB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BHRB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.25 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHRB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BHRB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.25 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$62.54 -
$65.13
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($73.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.54 -
$65.13
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.97
Resistance Level
$64.17
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.12
Wall Street Target
$73.25
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.6%
Profit Margin
34.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.95
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$59.18
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$57.47
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$62.96
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 15.1%)
$295.64
(+371%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 15.1%)
$95.72
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 15.1%)
$81.36
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.71
Bull Case
$79.83
(+27%)
Analyst growth 14.4%, PE expands to 9.1
Base Case
$72.57
(+16%)
Market implied 14.4%, PE stable at 8.2
Bear Case
$43.15
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$68.77
(+9.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 22, 2026 7:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BHRB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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