BKH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BKH - Black Hills Corporation
$73.50
1.72 (2.40%)
▲
5d:
+0.99%
30d:
-0.74%
90d:
+1.44%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BKH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BKH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.84
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BKH is currently trading at $73.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.66 to $74.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $73.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.40 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $73.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.40 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$71.66 -
$74.81
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($83.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.66 -
$74.81
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.47
Resistance Level
$73.84
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.94
Wall Street Target
$83.40
(+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.5%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.43
(0%)
2-Year Target
$73.35
(0%)
3-Year Target
$73.28
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
$73.57
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 6.3%)
$121.49
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 6.3%)
$88.33
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 6.3%)
$75.08
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.84
Bull Case
$94.83
(+29%)
Analyst growth 20.1%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$86.21
(+17%)
Market implied 20.1%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$48.81
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$73.79
(+0.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 2:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BKH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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