BMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMA - Banco Macro S.A.
$70.80
-0.98 (-1.37%)
▼
5d:
-3.65%
30d:
-13.28%
90d:
-18.24%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BMA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 18.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BMA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 18.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$531346.26
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$329924.22
100.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMA is currently trading at $70.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.70 to $80.46. At these levels, the market is pricing in 18.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $68.22, while resistance sits at $78.31.
Market Sentiment: BMA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.10 (+59.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $68.22, while resistance sits at $78.31.
Market Sentiment: BMA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.10 (+59.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$71.70 -
$80.46
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.7% below Wall St target ($113.10)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 18.2% growth with -3.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.70 -
$80.46
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$68.22
Resistance Level
$78.31
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.01
Wall Street Target
$113.10
(+59.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.4%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+18.2% premium
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+18.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.69
(+18%)
2-Year Target
$98.92
(+40%)
3-Year Target
$116.92
(+65%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 58.3%)
$1016197.06
(+1435207%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.0, Growth: 58.3%)
$238.95
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.0, Growth: 58.3%)
$203.11
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (0x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.27
Bull Case
$153.99
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 23.6
Base Case
$139.99
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case
$47.60
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 6:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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