BMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BMA - Banco Macro S.A.

Commercial Banks, NEC
$90.24
0.55 (0.61%) ▲
5d: -0.11%
30d: +1.4%
90d: +15.83%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BMA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$570026.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$353941.91
100.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BMA is currently trading at $90.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.90 to $96.56. At these levels, the market is pricing in 18.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BMA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $87.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.34 (+25.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $85.90 - $96.56
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.7%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 25.6% below Wall St target ($113.34)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 18.2% growth with -99.6% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $85.90 - $96.56
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $87.63
Resistance Level $103.61
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 0.01
Wall Street Target $113.34 (+25.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -99.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -27.4%
Profit Margin 7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +18.2% premium
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +18.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $106.66 (+18%)
2-Year Target $126.08 (+40%)
3-Year Target $149.02 (+65%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 52.0%) $1075848.86 (+1192108%)
Base: (SPY PE: 0.0, Growth: 52.0%) $304.56 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 0.0, Growth: 52.0%) $258.88 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (0x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.92
Bull Case $197.32 (+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.2
Base Case $179.38 (+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.9
Bear Case $60.99 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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