BMO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMO - Bank of Montreal
$135.34
3.78 (2.87%)
▲
5d:
-0.77%
30d:
-6.97%
90d:
+3.12%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 26, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BMO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BMO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$220.43
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.87
1.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMO is currently trading at $135.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.49 to $145.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $130.09, while resistance sits at $140.23.
Market Sentiment: BMO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $130.09, while resistance sits at $140.23.
Market Sentiment: BMO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$136.49 -
$145.24
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($139.71)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$136.49 -
$145.24
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$130.09
Resistance Level
$140.23
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.39
Wall Street Target
$139.71
(+3.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Profit Margin
27.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 9.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$132.36
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$129.45
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$126.60
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$135.89
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.5%)
$527.54
(+290%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 13.5%)
$197.92
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 13.5%)
$168.23
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.74
Bull Case
$271.37
(+98%)
Analyst growth 84.3%, PE expands to 16.8
Base Case
$246.70
(+80%)
Market implied 84.3%, PE stable at 15.3
Bear Case
$91.00
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 9.0
Stabilization Target:
$145.27
(+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 12:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BMO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BMO price and gamma walls.
