BNS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BNS - Bank of Nova Scotia
$74.72
-1.70 (-2.22%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
24d
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1 traders called BNS this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BNS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BNS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.46
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.83
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BNS is currently trading at $74.72, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.74 to $74.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.5) is in line with its historical norms (8.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 35.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BNS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BNS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$72.74 -
$74.98
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($71.26)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$72.74 -
$74.98
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.93
Resistance Level
$76.56
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.49
Wall Street Target
$71.26
(-6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.4%
Profit Margin
24.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 8.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.27
(0%)
2-Year Target
$76.11
(0%)
3-Year Target
$75.96
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$76.04
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.1%)
$283.08
(+270%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 12.1%)
$107.79
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 12.1%)
$91.62
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.13
Bull Case
$167.73
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case
$152.48
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$51.84
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 8.5
Stabilization Target:
$76.50
(+0.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.1%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 2:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BNS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BNS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BNS price and gamma walls.
