BOX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BOX - BOX, INC.
$24.67
0.61 (2.54%)
▲
5d:
-4.08%
30d:
+3.26%
90d:
+6.38%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 26, 2026
7d
Smart Money Accumulation
BOX is down 4.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $28 2026-06-18 with 195 OI. Call ratio: 72% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BOX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BOX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.65
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BOX is currently trading at $24.67, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.09 to $25.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.0) is in line with its historical norms (16.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $23.34, while resistance sits at $26.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.25 (+30.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $23.34, while resistance sits at $26.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.25 (+30.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$23.09 -
$25.01
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.7% below Wall St target ($32.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with 13.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.09 -
$25.01
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.34
Resistance Level
$26.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.99
Wall Street Target
$32.25
(+30.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.1%
Profit Margin
-19.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 16.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.72
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$24.77
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$24.82
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.69
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 12.8%)
$46.00
(+86%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: 12.8%)
$35.41
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$30.10
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.58
Bull Case
$54.38
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 46.9
Base Case
$49.44
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.6
Bear Case
$16.81
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 7:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BOX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dylan C Smith
SELL
10280 shares
2026-04-10
Eli Berkovitch
SELL
24500 shares
2026-04-08
Olivia Nottebohm
SELL
6528 shares
2026-04-07
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