BOX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BOX - BOX, INC.
$27.89
0.44 (1.60%)
▲
5d:
+11.87%
30d:
+0.83%
90d:
+17.83%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BOX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BOX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.09
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BOX is currently trading at $27.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.04 to $27.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.2) compared to its historical average (17.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BOX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.50 (+16.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BOX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.50 (+16.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.04 -
$27.19
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($32.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.0% growth with 13.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.04 -
$27.19
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.07
Resistance Level
$28.12
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.21
Wall Street Target
$32.50
(+16.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.1%
Profit Margin
-19.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
19.2 vs 17.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.01
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$30.17
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$31.37
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.93
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.8%)
$45.39
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.2, Growth: 12.8%)
$40.03
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.3, Growth: 12.8%)
$34.03
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$60.39
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 47.2
Base Case
$54.90
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.9
Bear Case
$18.67
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BOX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dylan C Smith
SELL
10280 shares
2026-04-10
Eli Berkovitch
SELL
24500 shares
2026-04-08
Olivia Nottebohm
SELL
6528 shares
2026-04-07
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