BRIA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRIA - BrilliA Inc
$1.99
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
23d
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1 traders called BRIA this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BRIA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BRIA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.41
41.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRIA is currently trading at $1.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.65 to $1.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRIA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $1.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BRIA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.50 (+176.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRIA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $1.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BRIA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.50 (+176.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$1.65 -
$1.94
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 176.4% below Wall St target ($5.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$1.65 -
$1.94
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.88
Resistance Level
$1.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.47
Wall Street Target
$5.50
(+176.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.9%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 12.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.79
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$1.61
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.45
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→12)
$2.06
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 42.4%)
$15.14
(+661%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 42.4%)
$5.75
(+189%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 42.4%)
$4.89
(+146%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.12
Bull Case
$4.17
(+110%)
Analyst growth 95.8%, PE expands to 17.7
Base Case
$3.79
(+90%)
Market implied 95.8%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$1.32
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 12.0
Stabilization Target:
$2.82
(+41.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.7%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRIA showing a specific setup today?
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