What is the fair value of BRLT stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for BRLT to be between $1.26 and $1.48. The current price is $1.30.

What is the analyst price target for BRLT?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for BRLT is $1.71. This implies a potential upside of 31.7% from current levels.

BRLT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BRLT - Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock

JEWELRY, SILVERWARE & PLATED WARE

$1.30

-0.02 (-1.52%) ▼

5d: +0.0%

30d: -21.21%

90d: -25.71%

BUY

HIGH Confidence

Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BRLT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.7% annual earnings decline despite 24% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BRLT is currently trading at $1.30, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.26 to $1.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.8) compared to its historical average (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BRLT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.21, while resistance sits at $1.38.

Market Sentiment: BRLT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.71 (+31.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Fair Price Range $1.26 - $1.48

Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 31.7% below Wall St target ($1.71)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $1.26 - $1.48

Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1.21

Resistance Level $1.38

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.85

Wall Street Target $1.71 (+31.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.1%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 23.8%

Profit Margin -0.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -3.7% cheaper

PE vs Historical 15.9 vs 17.7 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -3.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $1.25 (-4%)

2-Year Target $1.21 (-7%)

3-Year Target $1.16 (-11%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→18) $1.30 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: -21.9%) $1.23 (+-5%)

Base: (SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: -21.9%) $0.95 (-27%)

Bear: (PE: 13.5, Growth: -21.9%) $0.81 (-38%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 17.7

Stabilization Target: $1.45 (+11.6%)

PE Expansion Potential: +11.6%

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Last updated: April 02, 2026 11:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:52 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Sharon Dziesietnik SELL 19687 shares 2026-02-18

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