BRLT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRLT - Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$1.56
-0.10 (-6.02%)
ā¼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: BRLT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: BRLT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRLT is currently trading at $1.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.62 to $1.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.3) compared to its historical average (19.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRLT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.38 (+52.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRLT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.38 (+52.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$1.62 -
$1.77
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 52.6% below Wall St target ($2.38)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$1.62 -
$1.77
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.53
Resistance Level
$1.78
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.33
Wall Street Target
$2.38
(+52.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.8%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 19.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.51
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$1.45
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$1.40
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17ā19)
$1.56
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 66.7%)
$6.77
(+334%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 66.7%)
$5.26
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 66.7%)
$4.48
(+187%)
š”
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.3 to 19.3
Stabilization Target:
$1.74
(+11.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.3%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 3:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRLT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BRLT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BRLT price and gamma walls.
