TPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPR - Tapestry, Inc. Common Stock
$144.21
0.22 (0.15%)
▲
5d:
-1.23%
30d:
+4.01%
90d:
-0.1%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TPR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TPR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$224.18
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$139.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPR is currently trading at $144.21, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $140.72 to $148.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.6) is in line with its historical norms (20.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $147.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $166.74 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $147.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $166.74 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$140.72 -
$148.21
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($166.74)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$140.72 -
$148.21
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$135.48
Resistance Level
$147.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.63
Wall Street Target
$166.74
(+15.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.7%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 20.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$140.46
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$136.81
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$133.25
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$144.48
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.0%)
$230.69
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 11.0%)
$197.33
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 11.0%)
$167.73
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.28
Bull Case
$316.20
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 48.2
Base Case
$287.45
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 43.8
Bear Case
$97.73
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.6 to 20.2
Stabilization Target:
$156.36
(+8.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Terri A. Sewell
SELL
2026-03-25
Joanne C Crevoiserat
SELL
48795 shares
2026-02-18
Thomas Greco
SELL
14245 shares
2026-02-17
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