BRSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BRSL - Brightstar Lottery PLC

Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation
$12.81
0.07 (0.55%) β–²
5d: -1.0%
30d: -4.62%
90d: -17.35%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
βœ… BUY SIGNAL: BRSL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.27
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.20
3.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BRSL is currently trading at $12.81, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.68 to $13.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: BRSL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.08 (+41.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $12.68 - $13.47
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 31th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 86.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 31th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 41.1% below Wall St target ($18.08)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $12.68 - $13.47
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$0.87 (6.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.43
Resistance Level $13.28
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Apr 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.30
Wall Street Target $18.08 (+41.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -70.6%
Profit Margin 5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.3 vs 11.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $12.63 (-1%)
2-Year Target $12.45 (-3%)
3-Year Target $12.28 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11β†’12) $12.82 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.6%) $39.11 (+205%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 15.6%) $19.78 (+54%)
Bear: (PE: 9.6, Growth: 15.6%) $16.81 (+31%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 11.8
Stabilization Target: $13.37 (+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.4%
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:45 AM
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