BRSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRSL - Brightstar Lottery PLC
$12.81
0.07 (0.55%)
β²
5d:
-1.0%
30d:
-4.62%
90d:
-17.35%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
β BUY SIGNAL: BRSL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
β BUY SIGNAL: BRSL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.27
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.20
3.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRSL is currently trading at $12.81, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.68 to $13.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRSL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.08 (+41.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRSL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.08 (+41.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$12.68 -
$13.47
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
31th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 31th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.1% below Wall St target ($18.08)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.68 -
$13.47
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
Β±$0.87
(6.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.43
Resistance Level
$13.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.30
Wall Street Target
$18.08
(+41.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-70.6%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.63
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$12.45
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$12.28
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11β12)
$12.82
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.6%)
$39.11
(+205%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 15.6%)
$19.78
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 15.6%)
$16.81
(+31%)
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 11.8
Stabilization Target:
$13.37
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRSL showing a specific setup today?
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