BRSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRSL - Brightstar Lottery PLC
$12.48
-0.13 (-1.03%)
▼
5d:
-4.37%
30d:
-7.96%
90d:
-20.66%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BRSL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BRSL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.74
Based on -11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.18
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRSL is currently trading at $12.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.72 to $13.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.08 (+43.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.08 (+43.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$12.72 -
$13.54
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.4% below Wall St target ($18.08)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.72 -
$13.54
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.93
(7.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.52
Resistance Level
$13.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.70
Wall Street Target
$18.08
(+43.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-70.6%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.56
(0%)
2-Year Target
$12.51
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$12.46
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$12.67
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -26.8%)
$23.94
(+90%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: -26.8%)
$12.51
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: -26.8%)
$10.63
(-16%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 11.9
Stabilization Target:
$12.82
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 PM
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