BSY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BSY - Bentley Systems, Incorporated Class B Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$35.12
0.05 (0.14%) ▲
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026 24d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BSY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.28
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.84
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BSY is currently trading at $35.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.37 to $39.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.2) compared to its historical average (29.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BSY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.71 (+52.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $37.37 - $39.88
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 52.9% below Wall St target ($53.71)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.6% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $37.37 - $39.88
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $34.49
Resistance Level $39.74
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.16
Wall Street Target $53.71 (+52.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 34.4%
Profit Margin 18.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 26.2 vs 29.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $33.75 (-4%)
2-Year Target $32.43 (-8%)
3-Year Target $31.17 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→30) $35.15 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 26.2, Growth: 13.8%) $51.76 (+47%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.8%) $44.12 (+26%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 13.8%) $37.50 (+7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.82
Bull Case $67.27 (+92%)
Analyst growth 63.7%, PE expands to 50.1
Base Case $61.15 (+74%)
Market implied 63.7%, PE stable at 45.6
Bear Case $25.40 (-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.2 to 29.5
Stabilization Target: $39.61 (+12.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.8%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 6:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced BSY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BSY price and gamma walls.

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