BTI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BTI - British American Tobacco p.l.c. American Depositary Shares, American Depositary Shares, each representing one Ordinary Share
$60.99
0.31 (0.51%)
▲
5d:
+3.39%
30d:
+7.72%
90d:
+18.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BTI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BTI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.87
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.24
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BTI is currently trading at $60.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.27 to $59.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $61.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BTI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $61.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BTI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$55.27 -
$59.50
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($59.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$55.27 -
$59.50
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.31
Resistance Level
$61.15
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.51
Wall Street Target
$59.50
(-2.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Profit Margin
12.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.15
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$63.33
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$64.53
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$60.85
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.7%)
$128.31
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 5.7%)
$72.01
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 5.7%)
$61.21
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.92
Bull Case
$133.50
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.8
Base Case
$121.36
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.6
Bear Case
$41.26
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 03, 2026 5:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BTI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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