BWEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BWEN - Broadwind, Inc. Common Stock

NONFERROUS FOUNDRIES (CASTINGS)
$3.00
-0.12 (-3.85%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BWEN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BWEN is currently trading at $3.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.02 to $3.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.4) is in line with its historical norms (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1666.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BWEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (25th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.33 (+38.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $3.02 - $3.65
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 25th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.6%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 25th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 38.9% below Wall St target ($4.33)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.1% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $3.02 - $3.65
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.39 (13.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.94
Resistance Level $3.72
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.35
Wall Street Target $4.33 (+38.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -35.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1666.7%
Profit Margin 3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 18.4 vs 18.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.10 (-1%)
2-Year Target $3.08 (-1%)
3-Year Target $3.06 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→19) $3.12 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: -32.0%) $2.76 (+-11%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: -32.0%) $2.27 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 15.6, Growth: -32.0%) $1.93 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.23
Bull Case $2.59 (-14%)
Analyst growth -26.1%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case $2.36 (-21%)
Market implied -26.1%, PE stable at 13.9
Bear Case $2.17 (-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 18.7
Stabilization Target: $3.18 (+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.9%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced BWEN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BWEN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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