BX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BX - Blackstone Inc.
$108.07
-1.56 (-1.42%)
▼
5d:
-2.14%
30d:
-8.38%
90d:
-30.54%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 16, 2026
16d
Smart Money Distribution
BX is up 3.4% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $150 2026-06-18 with 2,862 OI. Put ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 2.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.8% annual earnings decline despite 42% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.8% annual earnings decline despite 42% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$290.92
Based on 14.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$180.64
40.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BX is currently trading at $108.07, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $106.67 to $120.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (19.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 42.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $105.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $156.74 (+45.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $105.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $156.74 (+45.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$106.67 -
$120.50
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.0% below Wall St target ($156.74)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$106.67 -
$120.50
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$105.19
Resistance Level
$115.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.80
Wall Street Target
$156.74
(+45.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
50.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
42.5%
Profit Margin
21.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 19.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.26
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$87.54
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$78.78
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→19)
$110.75
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 24.2%)
$335.92
(+211%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 24.2%)
$206.95
(+92%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 24.2%)
$175.91
(+63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.87
Bull Case
$242.95
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.4
Base Case
$220.86
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.5
Bear Case
$75.09
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 19.4
Stabilization Target:
$151.92
(+40.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 7:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:03 AM
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11
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Sells
+
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