BXC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BXC - BlueLinx Holdings Inc.
$69.56
0.90 (1.31%)
▲
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
16d
Get Alerted When BXC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BXC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BXC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.53
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.83
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BXC is currently trading at $69.56, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.95 to $74.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.5) is in line with its historical norms (34.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $66.38, while resistance sits at $79.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.50 (+11.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $66.38, while resistance sits at $79.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.50 (+11.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$62.95 -
$74.60
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
13th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BXC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 13th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($76.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with 0.2% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.1% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$62.95 -
$74.60
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.56
(6.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.38
Resistance Level
$79.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.52
Wall Street Target
$76.50
(+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.3%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
36.5 vs 34.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.83
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$71.01
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$72.22
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→35)
PE COMPRESSION
$68.82
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.5, Growth: 83.4%)
$231.73
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 83.4%)
$141.49
(+106%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 83.4%)
$120.27
(+75%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case
$81.59
(+17%)
Analyst growth 8.0%, PE expands to 43.4
Base Case
$74.17
(+7%)
Market implied 8.0%, PE stable at 39.5
Bear Case
$46.68
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BXC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Industrial Distribution Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Industrial Distribution by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FERG
Ferguson Plc |
BUY
24 analysts |
$261 | 62 BUY |
|
WCC
WESCO International Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$290 | 65 BUY |
|
CNM
Core & Main Inc |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$61 | 49 HOLD |
|
GWW
WW Grainger Inc |
SELL
20 analysts |
$1071 | 67 BUY |
|
AIT
Applied Industrial Techn… |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$306 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced BXC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BXC price and gamma walls.
