BXSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BXSL - Blackstone Secured Lending Fund
$25.10
-0.56 (-2.18%)
▼
5d:
-3.57%
30d:
-4.67%
90d:
-4.89%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BXSL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BXSL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.63
Based on -2.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.67
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BXSL is currently trading at $25.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.80 to $26.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BXSL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.20 (+16.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BXSL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.20 (+16.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$25.80 -
$26.80
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.20)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$25.80 -
$26.80
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.65
Resistance Level
$26.94
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.56
Wall Street Target
$29.20
(+16.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.9%
Profit Margin
42.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.62
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$24.16
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$23.70
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$25.20
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -8.6%)
$49.86
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: -8.6%)
$19.14
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: -8.6%)
$16.27
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.62
Bull Case
$31.59
(+26%)
Analyst growth 11.9%, PE expands to 10.8
Base Case
$28.72
(+14%)
Market implied 11.9%, PE stable at 9.8
Bear Case
$17.45
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$26.69
(+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.3%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 1:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is BXSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Robert J Bass
BUY
3760 shares
2025-10-06
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