CAG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CAG - Conagra Brands, Inc.

FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS
$18.51
0.68 (3.81%) ▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 02, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CAG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.0% growth. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.80
Based on 4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.67
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CAG is currently trading at $18.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.75 to $17.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (8.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CAG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: CAG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $16.75 - $17.74
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.2%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($18.81)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.0% growth with -6.8% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $16.75 - $17.74
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $16.89
Resistance Level $18.51
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.86
Wall Street Target $18.81 (+5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -64.9%
Profit Margin -0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.0% premium
PE vs Historical 9.9 vs 8.3 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $18.90 (+6%)
2-Year Target $20.03 (+12%)
3-Year Target $21.24 (+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→8) PE COMPRESSION $17.88 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.2%) $46.97 (+163%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 5.2%) $20.76 (+16%)
Bear: (PE: 8.3, Growth: 5.2%) $17.48 (-2%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna BUY 2025-09-29
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2025-09-05
Ro Khanna SELL 2025-09-05

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Advanced CAG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CAG price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for CAG

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