CAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAL - Caleres Inc
$12.22
-0.11 (-0.89%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CAL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CAL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.19
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.91
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAL is currently trading at $12.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.47 to $13.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.4) compared to its historical average (5.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $11.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+37.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $11.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+37.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$12.47 -
$13.69
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
18th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 18th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.9% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.8% growth with 6.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.47 -
$13.69
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.18
(9.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.94
Resistance Level
$14.30
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.38
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+37.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.1%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.8% premium
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 5.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.29
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$14.33
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$15.45
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.34
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 203.6%)
$125.69
(+919%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 203.6%)
$41.61
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 203.6%)
$33.25
(+170%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$27.06
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.1
Base Case
$24.60
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case
$8.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CAL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CAL price and gamma walls.
