CBOE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CBOE - Cboe Global Markets, Inc.
$265.06
-0.46 (-0.17%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 06, 2026
5d
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1 traders called CBOE this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CBOE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CBOE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$337.44
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$209.52
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CBOE is currently trading at $265.06, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $251.23 to $270.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.7) is in line with its historical norms (23.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBOE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $261.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBOE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $261.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$251.23 -
$270.12
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($273.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$251.23 -
$270.12
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$261.80
Resistance Level
$279.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.70
Wall Street Target
$273.00
(+2.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.7%
Profit Margin
21.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
23.7 vs 23.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$266.05
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$266.58
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$267.12
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$266.01
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.7, Growth: 6.0%)
$316.59
(+19%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.0%)
$297.91
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 6.0%)
$253.23
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.30
Bull Case
$350.66
(+32%)
Analyst growth 20.5%, PE expands to 31.3
Base Case
$318.78
(+20%)
Market implied 20.5%, PE stable at 28.5
Bear Case
$179.93
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CBOE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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