CCNE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCNE - CNB Financial Corp/PA
$29.39
-1.00 (-3.29%)
▼
5d:
-5.74%
30d:
-3.54%
90d:
-0.98%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 20, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CCNE is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CCNE is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.32
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCNE is currently trading at $29.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.17 to $31.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.9) is in line with its historical norms (7.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCNE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.67 (+14.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCNE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.67 (+14.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$30.17 -
$31.07
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($34.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.17 -
$31.07
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.90
Resistance Level
$31.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.88
Wall Street Target
$34.67
(+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
48.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
76.9%
Profit Margin
27.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 7.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.79
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$31.19
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$31.59
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.47
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.2%)
$110.54
(+264%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 9.2%)
$39.52
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 9.2%)
$33.59
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.87
Bull Case
$44.80
(+47%)
Analyst growth 34.4%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$40.73
(+34%)
Market implied 34.4%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case
$20.61
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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