CELH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CELH - Celsius Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

BOTTLED & CANNED SOFT DRINKS & CARBONATED WATERS
$52.48
-0.89 (-1.67%) β–Ό
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026 18d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: CELH is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.68
Based on 13.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.13
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CELH is currently trading at $52.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.05 to $55.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 34.1) compared to its historical average (30.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CELH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.35 (+18.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $47.05 - $55.07
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.0%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($63.35)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.2% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $47.05 - $55.07
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $52.30
Resistance Level $57.85
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 34.13
Wall Street Target $63.35 (+18.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 172.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 17.3%
Profit Margin 3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.9% premium
PE vs Historical 34.1 vs 30.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $55.45 (+4%)
2-Year Target $57.61 (+8%)
3-Year Target $59.86 (+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 34β†’30) PE COMPRESSION $53.32 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 34.1, Growth: 22.8%) $98.87 (+85%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 22.8%) $64.60 (+21%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 22.8%) $54.91 (+3%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 37.31 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.41
Bull Case $63.37 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 39.2
Base Case $52.48 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 37.3
Bear Case $40.15 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 33.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jarrod Langhans SELL 5000 shares 2025-10-16
William H Milmoe SELL 40000 shares 2025-10-10
Paul H Storey SELL 7500 shares 2025-09-03

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Advanced CELH Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CELH price and gamma walls.

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