CEVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CEVA - CEVA Inc.

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
$21.09
-1.08 (-4.87%) β–Ό
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026 16d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: CEVA is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.28
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.42
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CEVA is currently trading at $21.09, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.83 to $23.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 34.5) is in line with its historical norms (33.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CEVA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.40 (+41.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $21.83 - $23.23
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 33th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.6%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 33th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.9%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 41.6% below Wall St target ($31.40)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.2% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $21.83 - $23.23
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$2.44 (11.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $20.82
Resistance Level $24.17
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 34.51
Wall Street Target $31.40 (+41.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 95.9%
Profit Margin -10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.8% premium
PE vs Historical 34.5 vs 33.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $22.35 (+1%)
2-Year Target $22.53 (+2%)
3-Year Target $22.71 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 35β†’34) PE COMPRESSION $22.18 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 34.5, Growth: 53.9%) $74.82 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 53.9%) $48.36 (+118%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 53.9%) $41.10 (+85%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:46 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CEVA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CEVA price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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