CG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CG - The Carlyle Group Inc. Common Stock
$58.78
-0.72 (-1.21%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 09, 2026
7d
Smart Money Accumulation
CG is down 4.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $65 2026-03-20 with 2,596 OI. Call ratio: 90% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
Get Alerted When CG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.00
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.61
1.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CG is currently trading at $58.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.12 to $64.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (12.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.07 (+19.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.07 (+19.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$60.12 -
$64.75
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($70.07)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with -94.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$60.12 -
$64.75
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.33
Resistance Level
$66.45
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.53
Wall Street Target
$70.07
(+19.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-94.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.9%
Profit Margin
20.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 12.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.84
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$58.90
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$58.96
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$58.83
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.9%)
$167.24
(+185%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 16.9%)
$93.95
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 16.9%)
$79.85
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.78
Bull Case
$133.19
(+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.4
Base Case
$121.08
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.0
Bear Case
$41.17
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 2:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:44 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey W Ferguson
SELL
202606 shares
2025-08-12
Jeffrey W Ferguson
SELL
97394 shares
2025-08-11
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KKR
KKR & Co LP |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$158 | 57 HOLD |
|
BLK
BlackRock Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$1334 | 59 HOLD |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$40 | 63 BUY |
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$165 | 56 HOLD |
|
CRBG
Corebridge Financial Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$38 | 66 BUY |
Advanced CG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CG price and gamma walls.
