CHWY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHWY - Chewy, Inc.
$29.11
-1.03 (-3.42%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 31, 2026
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3 traders called CHWY this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CHWY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CHWY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.74
Based on 13.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.68
31.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHWY is currently trading at $29.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.16 to $33.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.4) compared to its historical average (24.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1387.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHWY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: CHWY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.62 (+51.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHWY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: CHWY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.62 (+51.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$31.16 -
$33.26
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CHWY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 51.4% below Wall St target ($45.62)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.1%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$31.16 -
$33.26
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.65
Resistance Level
$34.85
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.36
Wall Street Target
$45.62
(+51.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1387.6%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.4 vs 24.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.00
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$26.01
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$24.17
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→24)
$30.09
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 22.1%)
$63.17
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 22.1%)
$54.83
(+82%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 22.1%)
$46.61
(+55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 22.83 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.28
Bull Case
$35.15
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$29.11
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$22.27
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.4 to 24.1
Stabilization Target:
$37.53
(+24.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.5%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHWY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Satish Mehta
SELL
8727 shares
2025-08-05
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CHWY price and gamma walls.
