SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SE - Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share

Services-Miscellaneous Business Services
$82.77
-3.96 (-4.57%) ▼
5d: -3.09%
30d: -3.67%
90d: -23.97%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026 TODAY

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.6% annual earnings decline despite 58% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$189.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$117.38
29.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $82.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.65 to $88.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.7) compared to its historical average (19.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 58.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: SE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.27 (+59.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $82.65 - $88.53
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 59.4% below Wall St target ($138.27)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $82.65 - $88.53
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $81.88
Resistance Level $91.97
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 8, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.69
Wall Street Target $138.27 (+59.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 38.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 58.2%
Profit Margin 6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.7 vs 19.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $83.61 (-4%)
2-Year Target $80.60 (-7%)
3-Year Target $77.70 (-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→20) $86.97 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 30.2%) $237.64 (+174%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 30.2%) $191.60 (+121%)
Bear: (PE: 15.0, Growth: 30.2%) $162.86 (+88%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.52
Bull Case $189.70 (+119%)
Analyst growth 94.6%, PE expands to 38.7
Base Case $172.46 (+99%)
Market implied 94.6%, PE stable at 35.2
Bear Case $60.28 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 19.8
Stabilization Target: $97.08 (+11.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +11.9%
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Last updated: May 11, 2026 9:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gang Ye SELL 10000 shares 2026-04-22
Yanjun Wang SELL 800 shares 2026-04-22
Jingye Chen SELL 800 shares 2026-04-22

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