SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SE - Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
$82.77
-3.96 (-4.57%)
▼
5d:
-3.09%
30d:
-3.67%
90d:
-23.97%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
TODAY
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1 traders called SE this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.6% annual earnings decline despite 58% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.6% annual earnings decline despite 58% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$189.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$117.38
29.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $82.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.65 to $88.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.7) compared to its historical average (19.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 58.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: SE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.27 (+59.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: SE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.27 (+59.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$82.65 -
$88.53
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 59.4% below Wall St target ($138.27)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.65 -
$88.53
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.88
Resistance Level
$91.97
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.69
Wall Street Target
$138.27
(+59.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.2%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 19.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.61
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$80.60
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$77.70
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→20)
$86.97
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 30.2%)
$237.64
(+174%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 30.2%)
$191.60
(+121%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 30.2%)
$162.86
(+88%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.52
Bull Case
$189.70
(+119%)
Analyst growth 94.6%, PE expands to 38.7
Base Case
$172.46
(+99%)
Market implied 94.6%, PE stable at 35.2
Bear Case
$60.28
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 19.8
Stabilization Target:
$97.08
(+11.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 11, 2026 9:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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