SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SE - Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
$103.30
0.97 (0.95%)
▲
5d:
+16.05%
30d:
+10.91%
90d:
+25.73%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: SE is 8.2% above its trading range ($95.51). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: SE is 8.2% above its trading range ($95.51). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$194.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.63
14.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $103.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.67 to $95.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.7) is in line with its historical norms (19.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $97.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.26 (+35.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $97.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.26 (+35.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$85.67 -
$95.51
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.8% below Wall St target ($140.26)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.67 -
$95.51
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.23
Resistance Level
$97.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.67
Wall Street Target
$140.26
(+35.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
46.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 19.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$104.54
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$105.79
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$107.06
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$103.40
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 35.6%)
$285.05
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 35.6%)
$257.48
(+149%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 35.6%)
$218.86
(+112%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.54
Bull Case
$225.13
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 44.3
Base Case
$204.66
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 40.3
Bear Case
$69.58
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gang Ye
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-22
Yanjun Wang
SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
Jingye Chen
SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
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