CLMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CLMT - Calumet, Inc. Common Stock

PETROLEUM REFINING
$35.06
0.47 (1.36%) ▲
5d: +13.87%
30d: +19.58%
90d: +76.45%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your CLMT Gains
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

CLMT is down 5.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $27 2026-05-15 with 13,311 OI. Call ratio: 93% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CLMT is 9.9% above fair value ($31.91). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.91
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.40
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CLMT is currently trading at $35.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.62 to $31.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 103.1) compared to its historical average (57.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 21.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CLMT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $27.01, while resistance sits at $36.94.

Market Sentiment: CLMT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $27.62 - $31.91
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

Protect Your Profits

CLMT is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.9% above fair value)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.60)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 21.3% growth expectation is conservative given 562% recent growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $27.62 - $31.91
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $27.01
Resistance Level $36.94
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 103.12
Wall Street Target $35.60 (+1.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 561.7%
Profit Margin -0.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +21.3% premium
PE vs Historical 103.1 vs 57.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +21.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $42.53 (+21%)
2-Year Target $51.59 (+47%)
3-Year Target $62.57 (+79%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 103→58) PE COMPRESSION $35.01 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:30 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CLMT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CLMT price and gamma walls.

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