CMPO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMPO - CompoSecure, Inc.
$25.15
-0.53 (-2.06%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 22, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CMPO trades at premium valuation expecting 7.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CMPO trades at premium valuation expecting 7.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.37
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.37
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMPO is currently trading at $25.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.89 to $23.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.5) compared to its historical average (18.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMPO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.52, while resistance sits at $26.50.
Market Sentiment: CMPO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMPO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.52, while resistance sits at $26.50.
Market Sentiment: CMPO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$18.89 -
$23.92
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CMPO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.1% above fair value)
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($25.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.5% growth with -42.5% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.89 -
$23.92
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.65
(10.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.52
Resistance Level
$26.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.51
Wall Street Target
$25.50
(+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-42.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.3%
Profit Margin
-134.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.5% premium
PE vs Historical
22.5 vs 18.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.04
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$29.06
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$31.24
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.5, Growth: 6.9%)
$30.76
(+22%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.9%)
$30.49
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.1, Growth: 6.9%)
$24.74
(-2%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rebecca Corbin Loree
BUY
5240 shares
2025-08-29
Gregoire Maes
SELL
97226 shares
2025-08-14
Gregoire Maes
SELL
19899 shares
2025-08-13
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