ATI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATI - ATI Inc.
$162.57
-2.26 (-1.37%)
▼
5d:
-0.06%
30d:
+3.66%
90d:
+16.28%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
ATI is down 4.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $170 2026-06-18 with 1,168 OI. Call ratio: 93% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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1 traders called ATI this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$247.56
Based on 13.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$153.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATI is currently trading at $162.57, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $152.03 to $162.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 30.1) is in line with its historical norms (29.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $151.82, while resistance sits at $171.11.
Market Sentiment: ATI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $179.56 (+10.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $151.82, while resistance sits at $171.11.
Market Sentiment: ATI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $179.56 (+10.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$152.03 -
$162.73
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($179.56)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$152.03 -
$162.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$151.82
Resistance Level
$171.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.07
Wall Street Target
$179.56
(+10.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.9%
Profit Margin
9.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
30.1 vs 29.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$162.90
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$163.22
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$163.55
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$162.61
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.1, Growth: 22.1%)
$296.21
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 22.1%)
$217.10
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 22.1%)
$184.53
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 36.90 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.41
Bull Case
$196.30
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 38.8
Base Case
$162.57
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 36.9
Bear Case
$124.37
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 33.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 9:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David J Morehouse
SELL
6609 shares
2026-03-09
Robert S Wetherbee
SELL
53862 shares
2025-12-18
Timothy J Harris
SELL
10542 shares
2025-11-25
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Advanced ATI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATI price and gamma walls.
