CMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMT - Core Molding Technologies, Inc.
$19.52
0.10 (0.51%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CMT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CMT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.56
17.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMT is currently trading at $19.52, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.68 to $20.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CMT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+13.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CMT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+13.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$18.68 -
$20.26
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.68 -
$20.26
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.10
Resistance Level
$19.88
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.56
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+13.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.1%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.40
(0%)
2-Year Target
$19.38
(0%)
3-Year Target
$19.36
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$19.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 44.8%)
$113.81
(+486%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 44.8%)
$58.99
(+204%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 44.8%)
$50.14
(+158%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.93
Bull Case
$37.36
(+91%)
Analyst growth 80.6%, PE expands to 22.2
Base Case
$33.96
(+74%)
Market implied 80.6%, PE stable at 20.2
Bear Case
$12.78
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$19.49
(+0.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.4%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CMT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CMT price and gamma walls.
