CNH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNH - CNH INDUSTRIAL N.V.
$10.76
-0.09 (-0.83%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.66
Based on 10.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.72
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNH is currently trading at $10.76, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.57 to $10.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.1) compared to its historical average (17.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNH is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.81 (+18.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNH is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.81 (+18.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$9.57 -
$10.87
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($12.81)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.1% growth with -5.5% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.57 -
$10.87
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.52
Resistance Level
$11.25
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.12
Wall Street Target
$12.81
(+18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.0%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 17.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.29
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$11.76
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$12.24
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.89
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.5%)
$18.99
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.5%)
$17.14
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 16.5%)
$14.57
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case
$13.30
(+24%)
Analyst growth 12.3%, PE expands to 24.7
Base Case
$12.09
(+12%)
Market implied 12.3%, PE stable at 22.4
Bear Case
$7.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Francesco Vincenzo Mari …
SELL
12271 shares
2025-08-06
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Advanced CNH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNH price and gamma walls.
