CNH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNH - CNH INDUSTRIAL N.V.
$10.50
-0.23 (-2.10%)
▼
5d:
+0.43%
30d:
-14.67%
90d:
+11.18%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
CNH is down 6.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $12.5 2026-06-18 with 4,046 OI. Call ratio: 68% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNH trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNH trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.92
34.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNH is currently trading at $10.49, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.50 to $12.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (17.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.81, while resistance sits at $11.22.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.99 (+30.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.81, while resistance sits at $11.22.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.99 (+30.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$10.50 -
$12.45
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.5% below Wall St target ($13.99)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.50 -
$12.45
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.81
Resistance Level
$11.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.50
Wall Street Target
$13.99
(+30.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.1%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 17.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.02
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$9.37
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$8.76
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$10.76
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 78.8%)
$55.91
(+422%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 78.8%)
$36.18
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 78.8%)
$30.75
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.41
Bull Case
$19.72
(+89%)
Analyst growth 80.4%, PE expands to 26.7
Base Case
$17.93
(+72%)
Market implied 80.4%, PE stable at 24.2
Bear Case
$6.76
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 17.8
Stabilization Target:
$13.16
(+22.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 9:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
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Advanced CNH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNH price and gamma walls.
