OSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSK - Oshkosh Corp.
$120.39
-5.73 (-4.54%)
▼
5d:
-12.74%
30d:
-16.27%
90d:
-29.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OSK is down 12.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OSK is down 12.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$297.47
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$184.71
34.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSK is currently trading at $120.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.01 to $156.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $120.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $164.79 (+36.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $120.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $164.79 (+36.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$136.01 -
$156.14
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 36.9% below Wall St target ($164.79)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$136.01 -
$156.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$120.44
Resistance Level
$159.84
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.59
Wall Street Target
$164.79
(+36.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.5%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 10.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$111.24
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$102.79
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$94.97
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$120.51
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 27.6%)
$641.98
(+433%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 27.6%)
$249.88
(+108%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 27.6%)
$212.40
(+76%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.98
Bull Case
$216.51
(+80%)
Analyst growth 56.1%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$196.83
(+64%)
Market implied 56.1%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$85.76
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 10.9
Stabilization Target:
$152.76
(+26.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anupam Khare
SELL
4000 shares
2026-02-27
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