CNM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNM - Core & Main, Inc.
$50.95
-0.10 (-0.20%)
▼
5d:
+2.68%
30d:
-6.12%
90d:
-1.96%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.12
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.51
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNM is currently trading at $50.95, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.90 to $53.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.8) is in line with its historical norms (20.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.56 (+18.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.56 (+18.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$47.90 -
$53.37
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($60.56)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$47.90 -
$53.37
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.69
Resistance Level
$52.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.77
Wall Street Target
$60.56
(+18.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 20.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.98
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$49.03
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$48.10
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$50.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 11.5%)
$73.48
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 11.5%)
$70.61
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 11.5%)
$60.02
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.28
Bull Case
$58.94
(+22%)
Analyst growth 13.0%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$53.58
(+11%)
Market implied 13.0%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$32.23
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.8 to 20.9
Stabilization Target:
$53.87
(+5.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 11:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:41 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lisa C. McClain
SELL
2025-10-31
Lisa C. McClain
SELL
2025-10-30
Lisa C. McClain
BUY
2025-10-30
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