XMTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
XMTR - Xometry, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$89.98
3.79 (4.40%)
▲
5d:
+14.62%
30d:
+95.61%
90d:
+66.23%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
XMTR is up 7.7% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $30 2026-07-17 with 118 OI. Put ratio: 91% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: XMTR is 28.7% above its trading range ($69.90). Market expects 5.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: XMTR is 28.7% above its trading range ($69.90). Market expects 5.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: XMTR is currently trading at $89.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.56 to $69.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 70.5) compared to its historical average (60.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, XMTR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: XMTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, XMTR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: XMTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$39.56 -
$69.90
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.8%
Protect Your Profits
XMTR is technically overbought (RSI 88). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+28.7% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($85.12)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.3% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 28.7% overvaluation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.56 -
$69.90
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$8.29
(9.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.87
Resistance Level
$89.79
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
70.47
Wall Street Target
$85.13
(-1.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.9%
Profit Margin
-7.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.3% premium
PE vs Historical
70.5 vs 60.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$90.76
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$95.57
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$100.63
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 70→60)
PE COMPRESSION
$86.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 70.5, Growth: 75.6%)
$290.89
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 75.6%)
$90.98
(+6%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 75.6%)
$77.33
(-10%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 4:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is XMTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Emily Rollins
SELL
1000 shares
2026-04-01
Katharine Weymouth
BUY
1215 shares
2026-02-27
James Miln
SELL
15103 shares
2026-02-26
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Advanced XMTR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's XMTR price and gamma walls.
