Is CNQ stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CNQ is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNQ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of CNQ stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CNQ to be between $43.72 and $49.24. The current price is $49.41.

What is the analyst price target for CNQ?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CNQ is $43.60. This implies a potential upside of -13.0% from current levels.

CNQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CNQ - Canadian Natural Resources Limited

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

$49.41

-0.69 (-1.37%) ▼

5d: +2.12%

30d: +12.87%

90d: +50.67%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your CNQ Gains

Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 14, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

CNQ is down 3.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $47.5 2026-06-18 with 5,608 OI. Call ratio: 93% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNQ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 6.1%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$59.99

Based on 5.1% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$37.25

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CNQ is currently trading at $49.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.72 to $49.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CNQ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $47.14, while resistance sits at $51.34.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $43.60. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Fair Price Range $43.72 - $49.24

Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 42.4%

Protect Your Profits

CNQ is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Trading 13.0% above Wall St target ($43.60)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $43.72 - $49.24

Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $47.14

Resistance Level $51.34

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.78

Wall Street Target $43.60 (-13.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 372.3%

Profit Margin 27.9%

Valuation Premium vs History +2.3% premium

PE vs Historical 13.8 vs 12.9 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $51.24 (+2%)

2-Year Target $52.42 (+5%)

3-Year Target $53.63 (+7%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→13) PE COMPRESSION $50.21 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.1%) $97.14 (+94%)

Base: (SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 6.1%) $59.75 (+19%)

Bear: (PE: 11.7, Growth: 6.1%) $50.79 (+1%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 13.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.76

Bull Case $48.88 (+1%)

Analyst growth -9.4%, PE expands to 14.3

Base Case $44.43 (-8%)

Market implied -9.4%, PE stable at 13.0

Bear Case $33.33 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:14 PM

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Canadian Natural Resources Limited

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

About

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd is an independent crude oil and natural gas exploration, development, and production company. The company's exploration and production operations are focused in North America, largely in Western Canada; the United Kingdom (UK) portion of the North Sea; and Cote d'Ivoire in Offshore Africa. Its operating segments include North America, North Sea, Offshore Africa, Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading, and Midstream and Refining. Maximum revenue is generated from its Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading segment, which produces synthetic crude oil through bitumen mining and upgrading operations at Horizon Oil Sands (Horizon) and the company's direct and indirect interest in the Athabasca Oil Sands Project.

Exchange: XNYS

Market Cap: $66,079,728,960

Employees: 10,640

Listed Since: 2000-07-31

Website: Visit

CIK: 0001017413

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