CNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNX - CNX Resources Corporation
$38.59
0.16 (0.42%)
▲
5d:
-3.55%
30d:
-8.94%
90d:
+4.95%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.81
34.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNX is currently trading at $38.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.16 to $41.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 225.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$39.16 -
$41.84
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.86)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$39.16 -
$41.84
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.75
Resistance Level
$42.05
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.32
Wall Street Target
$37.86
(-1.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
225.0%
Profit Margin
30.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 11.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.55
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$32.88
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$30.42
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$38.49
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 41.2%)
$259.35
(+575%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 41.2%)
$108.19
(+182%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 41.2%)
$91.96
(+139%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.98
Bull Case
$45.97
(+13%)
Analyst growth 3.2%, PE expands to 11.2
Base Case
$41.79
(+3%)
Market implied 3.2%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$27.53
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 11.8
Stabilization Target:
$48.64
(+26.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 2:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:43 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Bernard Lanigan Jr
SELL
46119 shares
2026-02-19
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