COTY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COTY - COTY INC
$3.17
0.06 (1.93%)
▲
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: COTY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: COTY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.71
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.93
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COTY is currently trading at $3.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.07 to $3.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.6) is in line with its historical norms (6.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COTY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.99, while resistance sits at $3.40.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.46 (+40.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COTY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.99, while resistance sits at $3.40.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.46 (+40.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$3.07 -
$3.23
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding COTY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.8% below Wall St target ($4.46)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with -5.6% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.7% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$3.07 -
$3.23
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.99
Resistance Level
$3.40
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.56
Wall Street Target
$4.46
(+40.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.2%
Profit Margin
-6.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
6.6 vs 6.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.17
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$3.18
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$3.18
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$3.15
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.0%)
$15.54
(+390%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: 13.0%)
$4.57
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 13.0%)
$3.89
(+23%)
Last updated: February 01, 2026 1:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is COTY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Kristin Blazewicz
BUY
29400 shares
2025-09-03
Laurent Mercier
BUY
3000 shares
2025-08-26
Laurent Mercier
BUY
12500 shares
2025-08-25
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COTY price and gamma walls.
