COTY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COTY - COTY INC
$2.00
-0.02 (-1.24%)
▼
5d:
-3.16%
30d:
-19.23%
90d:
-34.8%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
COTY is down 3.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $3 2026-05-15 with 2,666 OI. Call ratio: 62% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.2/10
Get Alerted When COTY Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: COTY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: COTY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.93
31.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COTY is currently trading at $2.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.08 to $2.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.3) compared to its historical average (6.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COTY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: COTY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.48 (+72.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COTY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: COTY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.48 (+72.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$2.08 -
$2.52
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 72.4% below Wall St target ($3.48)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$2.08 -
$2.52
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.97
Resistance Level
$2.21
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.34
Wall Street Target
$3.48
(+72.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.2%
Profit Margin
-9.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.3 vs 6.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.90
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$1.80
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$1.69
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$2.03
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 37.6%)
$22.01
(+990%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.3, Growth: 37.6%)
$5.26
(+160%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.5, Growth: 37.6%)
$4.47
(+121%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.3 to 6.4
Stabilization Target:
$2.42
(+19.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 2:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:40 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is COTY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Bretten Gordon Von
BUY
83000 shares
2026-03-06
Laurent Mercier
BUY
5000 shares
2026-02-10
Top Rated Household & Personal Products Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Household & Personal Products by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
PG
Procter & Gamble Company |
BUY
25 analysts |
$168 | 60 HOLD |
|
CL
Colgate-Palmolive Company |
BUY
22 analysts |
$97 | 60 HOLD |
|
CHD
Church & Dwight Company … |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$104 | 53 HOLD |
|
ELF
ELF Beauty Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$113 | 45 HOLD |
|
EL
Estee Lauder Companies I… |
SELL
27 analysts |
$109 | 54 HOLD |
Advanced COTY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COTY price and gamma walls.
