CPSS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPSS - Consumer Portfolio Services
$8.78
0.15 (1.74%)
ā²
5d:
+10.03%
30d:
-5.89%
90d:
+7.6%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š HOLD: CPSS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
š HOLD: CPSS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.69
17.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPSS is currently trading at $8.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.45 to $9.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.1) is in line with its historical norms (6.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPSS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CPSS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (28th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+59.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPSS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CPSS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (28th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+59.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$8.45 -
$9.23
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
28th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 28th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.5% below Wall St target ($14.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.45 -
$9.23
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Ā±$1.27
(14.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.82
Resistance Level
$8.81
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.06
Wall Street Target
$14.00
(+59.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.1 vs 6.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.74
(0%)
2-Year Target
$8.71
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$8.68
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6ā6)
$8.74
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 76.8%)
$109.13
(+1143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.1, Growth: 76.8%)
$29.63
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: 76.8%)
$25.19
(+187%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.80
Bull Case
$17.21
(+96%)
Analyst growth 81.2%, PE expands to 11.9
Base Case
$15.64
(+78%)
Market implied 81.2%, PE stable at 10.8
Bear Case
$5.87
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
š”
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.1 to 6.1
Stabilization Target:
$8.84
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 2:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPSS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Noel Jackson
SELL
9369 shares
2025-09-16
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