AXP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXP - American Express Company
$312.77
3.16 (1.02%)
▲
5d:
-1.86%
30d:
-4.95%
90d:
-8.78%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
Get Alerted When AXP Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
1 traders called AXP this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AXP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AXP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$549.38
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$341.12
8.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXP is currently trading at $312.77, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $312.10 to $326.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (17.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $307.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $361.57 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $307.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $361.57 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$312.10 -
$326.30
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($361.57)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$312.10 -
$326.30
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$307.76
Resistance Level
$325.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.55
Wall Street Target
$361.57
(+15.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.6%
Profit Margin
16.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 17.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$299.32
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$286.45
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$274.13
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$313.78
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 14.0%)
$655.96
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 14.0%)
$462.84
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 14.0%)
$393.41
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.01
Bull Case
$427.84
(+37%)
Analyst growth 25.6%, PE expands to 21.3
Base Case
$388.94
(+24%)
Market implied 25.6%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$210.53
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.6 to 17.8
Stabilization Target:
$358.00
(+14.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AXP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rick Larsen
SELL
2026-04-07
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Shelley Moore Capito
BUY
2026-03-11
Featured in Portfolios
AXP is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated Credit Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Credit Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
V
Visa Inc. Class A |
STRONG BUY
41 analysts |
$398 | 62 BUY |
|
MA
Mastercard Inc |
STRONG BUY
42 analysts |
$649 | 62 BUY |
|
PYPL
PayPal Holdings Inc |
HOLD
47 analysts |
$53 | 59 HOLD |
|
AFRM
Affirm Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$82 | 55 HOLD |
|
COF
Capital One Financial Co… |
BUY
22 analysts |
$255 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced AXP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AXP price and gamma walls.
