CRDO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRDO - Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Ordinary Shares
$101.45
5.53 (5.77%)
▲
5d:
+5.19%
30d:
-1.06%
90d:
-29.49%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 01, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
CRDO is up 5.2% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $60 2026-05-15 with 26,191 OI. Put ratio: 78% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRDO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 26.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRDO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 26.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$230.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$142.82
29.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRDO is currently trading at $101.45, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.25 to $116.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.5) compared to its historical average (53.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 26.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 412.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRDO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $86.48, while resistance sits at $110.20. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRDO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $199.38 (+96.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRDO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $86.48, while resistance sits at $110.20. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRDO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $199.38 (+96.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$98.25 -
$116.95
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 96.5% below Wall St target ($199.38)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$98.25 -
$116.95
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.49
Resistance Level
$110.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.47
Wall Street Target
$199.38
(+96.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
201.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
412.5%
Profit Margin
31.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-26.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.5 vs 53.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-26.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.31
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$82.17
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$73.96
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→54)
$184.26
(+82%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.5, Growth: 42.8%)
$295.33
(+191%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 42.8%)
$282.91
(+179%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 42.8%)
$240.47
(+137%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 22.62 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.65
Bull Case
$126.91
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case
$105.10
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.6
Bear Case
$80.40
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.5 to 53.5
Stabilization Target:
$252.76
(+149.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+149.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 04, 2026 6:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRDO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
William Joseph Brennan
SELL
18016 shares
2026-03-11
William Joseph Brennan
SELL
50000 shares
2026-03-11
Chi Fung Cheng
SELL
27500 shares
2026-03-11
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Advanced CRDO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRDO price and gamma walls.
