CRDO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRDO - Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Ordinary Shares
$125.28
-4.19 (-3.24%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRDO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CRDO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$185.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$114.88
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRDO is currently trading at $125.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $133.16 to $152.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 34.1) compared to its historical average (84.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 26.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6150.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRDO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $123.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRDO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $211.50 (+63.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRDO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $123.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRDO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $211.50 (+63.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$133.16 -
$152.27
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CRDO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 63.4% below Wall St target ($211.50)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.9%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$133.16 -
$152.27
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$123.25
Resistance Level
$158.87
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.07
Wall Street Target
$211.50
(+63.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
272.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6150.0%
Profit Margin
26.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-26.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
34.1 vs 84.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-26.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$116.52
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$104.87
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$94.38
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→84)
$233.00
(+80%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.1, Growth: 36.1%)
$326.14
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 36.1%)
$213.48
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 36.1%)
$181.46
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 36.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.45
Bull Case
$151.28
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 38.2
Base Case
$125.28
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 36.4
Bear Case
$95.84
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 32.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.1 to 84.1
Stabilization Target:
$319.61
(+146.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+146.9%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 6:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRDO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
70000 shares
2025-10-22
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SELL
55000 shares
2025-10-20
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SELL
55000 shares
2025-10-13
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Advanced CRDO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRDO price and gamma walls.
