CRS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRS - Carpenter Technology Corp
$317.83
7.44 (2.40%)
▲
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
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1 traders called CRS this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CRS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$413.76
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$256.91
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRS is currently trading at $317.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $322.02 to $340.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.4) compared to its historical average (32.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 45.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $284.15, while resistance sits at $355.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $382.37 (+23.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $284.15, while resistance sits at $355.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $382.37 (+23.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$322.02 -
$340.84
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CRS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.2% below Wall St target ($382.37)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.3% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$322.02 -
$340.84
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$284.16
Resistance Level
$355.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.38
Wall Street Target
$382.37
(+23.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
45.5%
Profit Margin
14.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.4 vs 32.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$293.01
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$276.60
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$261.11
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→33)
$309.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.4, Growth: 11.8%)
$433.82
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.8%)
$353.28
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 11.8%)
$300.28
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.17
Bull Case
$506.07
(+59%)
Analyst growth 38.7%, PE expands to 44.7
Base Case
$460.06
(+45%)
Market implied 38.7%, PE stable at 40.6
Bear Case
$225.49
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.4 to 32.5
Stabilization Target:
$368.38
(+18.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.7%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steven E Karol
SELL
3433 shares
2025-09-09
I Martin Inglis
SELL
5691 shares
2025-08-18
Tony R Thene
SELL
19000 shares
2025-08-18
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