CRUS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CRUS - Cirrus Logic Inc

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$130.34
0.16 (0.12%) ▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026 2d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRUS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$124.93
Based on -0.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.57
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRUS is currently trading at $130.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $119.88 to $128.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.1) is in line with its historical norms (16.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRUS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $133.87. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CRUS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $119.88 - $128.15
Company Quality Score 66/100 (BUY)
Options IV Signal 2th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.2%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 2th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($140.83)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $119.88 - $128.15
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$7.98 (6.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $121.56
Resistance Level $133.87
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.12
Wall Street Target $140.83 (+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 35.5%
Profit Margin 19.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.6% premium
PE vs Historical 17.1 vs 16.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $130.96 (+1%)
2-Year Target $131.75 (+1%)
3-Year Target $132.54 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→17) PE COMPRESSION $130.09 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: -4.8%) $146.40 (+13%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: -4.8%) $112.37 (-14%)
Bear: (PE: 14.5, Growth: -4.8%) $95.51 (-27%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.02
Bull Case $155.72 (+20%)
Analyst growth 8.3%, PE expands to 20.5
Base Case $141.56 (+9%)
Market implied 8.3%, PE stable at 18.6
Bear Case $88.85 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 6:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Thomas SELL 734 shares 2025-10-20
Scott Thomas SELL 11089 shares 2025-09-18
Jeffrey W Baumgartner SELL 9162 shares 2025-09-17

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Advanced CRUS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRUS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for CRUS

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