CTAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTAS - Cintas Corp
$191.39
1.74 (0.92%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 01, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CTAS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CTAS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$192.21
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$119.35
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTAS is currently trading at $191.39, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $188.37 to $194.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.1) is in line with its historical norms (37.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTAS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $188.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $216.78 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTAS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $188.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $216.78 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$188.37 -
$194.08
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($216.78)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$188.37 -
$194.08
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$188.05
Resistance Level
$197.47
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.12
Wall Street Target
$216.78
(+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Profit Margin
17.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.1 vs 37.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$185.67
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$181.77
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$177.95
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→37)
$189.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.1, Growth: 10.7%)
$257.29
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.7%)
$163.35
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 10.7%)
$138.85
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.63
Bull Case
$242.66
(+27%)
Analyst growth 16.6%, PE expands to 44.9
Base Case
$220.60
(+15%)
Market implied 16.6%, PE stable at 40.9
Bear Case
$128.63
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.1 to 37.4
Stabilization Target:
$201.94
(+6.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.5%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Lisa C. McClain
SELL
2025-09-11
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-05
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CTAS price and gamma walls.
