BV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BV - BrightView Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

Agricultural Services
$12.35
0.04 (0.32%) ▲
5d: +0.16%
30d: +7.48%
90d: -6.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026 5d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.16
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.90
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BV is currently trading at $12.35, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.61 to $12.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.90, while resistance sits at $12.75.

Market Sentiment: BV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.46 (+33.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $11.61 - $12.30
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 33.2% below Wall St target ($16.46)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.61 - $12.30
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.90
Resistance Level $12.75
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Apr 28, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.73
Wall Street Target $16.46 (+33.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 6.3%
Profit Margin 1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.7 vs 15.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $12.29 (-1%)
2-Year Target $12.23 (-1%)
3-Year Target $12.17 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→15) $12.39 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: 13.7%) $25.42 (+106%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 13.7%) $18.18 (+47%)
Bear: (PE: 12.5, Growth: 13.7%) $15.45 (+25%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.11 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.22
Bull Case $14.91 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case $12.35 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.1
Bear Case $9.45 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 15.0
Stabilization Target: $12.57 (+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.8%
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Last updated: April 28, 2026 10:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:09 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
William L Cornog BUY 5000 shares 2026-02-06
William L Cornog BUY 10000 shares 2025-12-02
Jonathan Mark Gottsegen SELL 35000 shares 2025-12-01

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