CTLP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTLP - Cantaloupe, Inc. Common Stock
$10.83
-0.04 (-0.37%)
▼
5d:
+0.56%
30d:
+2.17%
90d:
+0.56%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CTLP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CTLP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.20
18.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTLP is currently trading at $10.83, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.69 to $10.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.8) is in line with its historical norms (21.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 201.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTLP is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTLP is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$10.69 -
$10.85
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.69 -
$10.85
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.72
Resistance Level
$10.91
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.83
Wall Street Target
$11.20
(+3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
201.7%
Profit Margin
17.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.8 vs 21.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.80
(0%)
2-Year Target
$10.77
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$10.73
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
$10.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 26.8%)
$22.09
(+104%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 26.8%)
$21.86
(+102%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 26.8%)
$18.58
(+72%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$8.52
(-21%)
Analyst growth -28.8%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$7.74
(-29%)
Market implied -28.8%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$7.39
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.8 to 21.0
Stabilization Target:
$10.92
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 4:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTLP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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