CTRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTRI - Centuri Holdings, Inc.
$27.39
-1.10 (-3.86%)
▼
5d:
-14.0%
30d:
-10.69%
90d:
-9.81%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CTRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CTRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.46
10.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTRI is currently trading at $27.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.29 to $31.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.2) compared to its historical average (32.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 175.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: CTRI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.08 (+35.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: CTRI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.08 (+35.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$29.29 -
$31.30
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CTRI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 35.4% below Wall St target ($37.08)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-14.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.29 -
$31.30
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.97
Resistance Level
$31.46
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.18
Wall Street Target
$37.08
(+35.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
175.2%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.2 vs 32.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.72
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$24.15
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$22.68
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→33)
$27.45
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.2, Growth: 40.4%)
$75.74
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 40.4%)
$60.70
(+122%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 40.4%)
$51.59
(+88%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 34.60 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.79
Bull Case
$33.07
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.3
Base Case
$27.39
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 34.6
Bear Case
$20.95
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.2 to 32.9
Stabilization Target:
$33.16
(+21.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 11:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CTRI price and gamma walls.
