CTRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTRI - Centuri Holdings, Inc.
$31.29
-1.17 (-3.60%)
▼
5d:
-9.38%
30d:
-4.05%
90d:
+0.9%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
CTRI is down 9.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $45 2026-06-18 with 1,279 OI. Call ratio: 98% View Scanner →
Strength: 9.5/10
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1 traders called CTRI this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CTRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CTRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTRI is currently trading at $31.29, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.47 to $37.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 30.7) is in line with its historical norms (33.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 175.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.79 (+14.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.79 (+14.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$31.47 -
$37.19
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CTRI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($35.79)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.47 -
$37.19
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.96
Resistance Level
$42.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.73
Wall Street Target
$35.79
(+14.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
175.2%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
30.7 vs 33.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.35
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$29.44
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$28.56
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→34)
$31.31
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.7, Growth: 37.9%)
$82.08
(+162%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 37.9%)
$58.94
(+88%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 37.9%)
$50.10
(+60%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 34.60 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.90
Bull Case
$37.78
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.3
Base Case
$31.29
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 34.6
Bear Case
$23.94
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 30.7 to 33.7
Stabilization Target:
$34.31
(+9.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 3:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christian Brown
SELL
7108 shares
2025-12-04
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Advanced CTRI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CTRI price and gamma walls.
