CVX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVX - Chevron Corporation
$176.90
5.71 (3.34%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 30, 2026
0d
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8 traders called CVX this week
89% bullish • 1 bearish
89% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CVX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CVX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$149.25
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.67
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVX is currently trading at $176.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $153.73 to $168.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.4) compared to its historical average (20.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $177.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CVX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $177.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CVX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$153.73 -
$168.92
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
Protect Your Profits
CVX is technically overbought (RSI 77). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($176.12)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.6% growth with -1.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$153.73 -
$168.92
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$165.15
Resistance Level
$177.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.37
Wall Street Target
$176.12
(+2.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.6%
Profit Margin
6.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.6% premium
PE vs Historical
24.4 vs 20.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$180.78
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$190.90
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$201.59
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$171.25
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.4, Growth: -2.9%)
$156.93
(+-8%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -2.9%)
$143.62
(-16%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -2.9%)
$122.07
(-29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 23.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.12
Bull Case
$183.49
(+7%)
Analyst growth -1.3%, PE expands to 26.1
Base Case
$166.81
(-3%)
Market implied -1.3%, PE stable at 23.7
Bear Case
$114.95
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alana K Knowles
SELL
3978 shares
2025-08-29
John B Hess
SELL
375000 shares
2025-08-22
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2025-08-22
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CVX price and gamma walls.
