CVX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVX - Chevron Corporation
$211.46
0.31 (0.15%)
▲
5d:
+3.05%
30d:
+13.23%
90d:
+40.95%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CVX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CVX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$291.13
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$180.77
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVX is currently trading at $211.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $185.56 to $203.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.2) is in line with its historical norms (20.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $214.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CVX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $214.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CVX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$185.56 -
$203.31
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
CVX is technically overbought (RSI 81). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($198.46)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with -8.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$185.56 -
$203.31
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$196.46
Resistance Level
$214.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.18
Wall Street Target
$198.46
(-6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.8%
Profit Margin
6.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
21.2 vs 20.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$213.05
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$214.97
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$216.90
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$211.00
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.5%)
$301.48
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.2, Growth: 10.5%)
$285.02
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.0, Growth: 10.5%)
$242.26
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.64
Bull Case
$315.13
(+54%)
Analyst growth 42.0%, PE expands to 33.4
Base Case
$286.48
(+40%)
Market implied 42.0%, PE stable at 30.4
Bear Case
$137.18
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:46 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
R. Hewitt Pate
SELL
47200 shares
2026-03-06
Andrew Benjamin Walz
SELL
11600 shares
2026-03-02
R. Hewitt Pate
SELL
58000 shares
2026-03-02
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